Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.048500 0.055530 0.062838 0.070972 0.079741 0.088881 0.099100
2025-04-06 0.038017 0.048350 0.059765 0.073164 0.088319 0.104798 0.123940
2025-04-13 0.029758 0.041727 0.055689 0.072829 0.092971 0.115589 0.142610
2025-04-20 0.026532 0.040187 0.056794 0.077857 0.103281 0.132457 0.167959
2025-04-27 0.021227 0.035189 0.052992 0.076386 0.105425 0.139496 0.181718
2025-05-04 0.018629 0.033283 0.052693 0.078905 0.112132 0.151748 0.201487
2025-05-11 0.015410 0.030031 0.050247 0.078370 0.114812 0.158988 0.215190
2025-05-18 0.013701 0.028704 0.050181 0.080757 0.121047 0.170494 0.234014
2025-05-25 0.012074 0.027257 0.049766 0.082540 0.126419 0.180898 0.251511
2025-06-01 0.009693 0.024225 0.046787 0.080590 0.126749 0.184871 0.261024
2025-06-08 0.007712 0.021517 0.044007 0.078680 0.126942 0.188534 0.270054
2025-06-15 0.006895 0.020775 0.044135 0.080825 0.132522 0.199057 0.287672
2025-06-22 0.005948 0.019720 0.043824 0.082512 0.137795 0.209625 0.305968
2025-06-29 0.005351 0.019286 0.044499 0.085697 0.145234 0.223180 0.328311
2025-07-06 0.004295 0.017632 0.042992 0.085515 0.147957 0.230580 0.342882
2025-07-13 0.004205 0.018179 0.045265 0.091120 0.158854 0.248824 0.371453
2025-07-20 0.003187 0.016207 0.042944 0.089506 0.159457 0.253402 0.382460
2025-07-27 0.002826 0.015837 0.043450 0.092292 0.166341 0.266372 0.404364
2025-08-03 0.002178 0.014434 0.041901 0.091701 0.168291 0.272698 0.417649
2025-08-10 0.001910 0.014105 0.042357 0.094337 0.174942 0.285395 0.439302
2025-08-17 0.001624 0.013607 0.042425 0.096303 0.180604 0.296769 0.459264
2025-08-24 0.001114 0.012011 0.040104 0.094152 0.180057 0.299583 0.467901
2025-08-31 0.000726 0.010564 0.037897 0.092044 0.179463 0.302257 0.476305